Assessing tropical cyclone characteristics in the current-generation CMIP6 models

Project Title:

Outline:

The impact of climate change on tropical cyclone (TC) activity is a topic of considerable scientific and socio-economic importance. With a few exceptions, most climate modelling studies have reported a likely decrease in the globally averaged TC frequency (and a likely increase in the number of intense TCs) in response to greenhouse warming. However, future projections of regional scale TC activity is complicated by model deficiencies and biases that limit adequate simulation of regional changes in large-scale environmental conditions necessary for TC formation. Now with the availability of the latest-generation CMIP6 models – some at even finer resolutions compared to their CMIP5 predecessors – this project aims to examine how TC characteristics are simulated in CMIP6models, and how they will change in the future warming climate.

Supervision:

Principal Supervisor: Savin Chand (FedUni)
Associate Supervisors: Andrew Dowdy and Kevin Tory (Australian Bureau of Meteorology)